OEM warns of Chinese “undersupply.”
Jens Flottau
Credit: Airbus/Stefan Kruijer
Airbus Chief Commercial Officer Christian Scherer sees “a lot of pressure for our friends in China” to come back into the ordering cycle soon to protect the country’s access to new aircraft. He is still “hopeful to be able to conclude additional transactions with Chinese customers,” he said Feb. 14 ahead of the opening of the Singapore Airshow.
Airbus has typically delivered around 20% of its production to China in recent years. But with no new orders having been placed for some years, the backlog is down to 250 aircraft. According to the Aviation Week Intelligence Network’s Commercial Aviation Fleet Discovery database, Airbus will deliver 80 aircraft to China in 2022, 70 in 2023 and just 38 in 2024. China “may be in a situation of undersupply for some years,” Scherer said.
He disputed that Airbus is benefiting from trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
Airbus announced two new firm orders ahead of the show: Aviation Capital Group (ACG) signed up for 20 A220s and Kuwait-based low-cost carrier Jazeera Airways placed a firm order for 28 A320neos. Both converted previously announced letters of intent.
Scherer is the most senior Airbus executive attending the Singapore Airshow, along with Chief Technology Officer Sabine Klauke. “The air show is on and we applaud that,” Scherer said. While the COVID-19 pandemic was not over yet, “the signs are quite encouraging” as travel restrictions in the region begin to be lifted. “Our business will prosper in the region,” she said.
Airbus’ latest global market forecast predicts a demand for 17,600 new aircraft in the Asia-Pacific region, among them 4,000 widebodies. Included are more than 250 new-built freighters, around 100 of those for replacement of existing aircraft. Scherer expects more shipping companies to enter air cargo, moves currently spurred by the spike in demand. “[Demand] is here to stay,” Scherer said. Airbus assumes air cargo will grow by around 3.6% annually in the region, slower than passenger traffic, which it sees expanding at 5.3% per year.
